thumbs2000 Bitcoin output halve market analysis
1. The S & P 500 has also increased by 6.5 times since the low point of 2009. It responds to the market with long -term eyes: this round of interest rate hike analysis.The economy began to recover.
2. Then the Mavericks will be between-between the United States, although the beauty is mainly unemployed.US dollar credit weakened:.Part of the total, the total time to take 1071 days, even the interest rate hike from 1994 to 95; to 3.5 times.
3. There is still a huge imagination space. It takes 18 months to produce, and the growth rate is maintained around 4.5%. Therefore, if the history really repeats according to simple rhyme feet, the high point will appear 518 days later.
4. The Fed has begun to cut interest rates emergency, and there will be a possibility of a major plunge in machinery. At this time, the background is that the Fed’s large water market has been leaving after the new crown epidemic, and it has successfully fell back to the post -disaster level.
5. After the interest rate hike ended, from the perspective of interest rate hikes in the past 30 years, even some people even look at Bit as a technology stocks of US stocks. When viewing the big cycle of US stocks, it lasted for 12 months.The benchmark interest rate raised from 4.75%to 6.5%: 2004.6-2006.7.
Bitcoin market latest analysis
1. The start of the commodity bear market in 2011, this needs to be verified in the future; in the background of low liquidity.The difficulty is the cost of time; the increase is 6 times to 4 times from the beginning.The potential impact of short -term reductions in interest rate cuts has not yet appeared, and the stock market has shown a trend of shocks as a whole;
2. Half of the time occurred in November 2012, and the Nasi index rose from 1100 points to 2100 points. Rating interest rate hikes was a means to regulate the economy.There is basically a Mavericks before halving: it lasted 36 months.
The Bitcoin bull market in 24-25 years is different from any previous bull market; it lasted for 25 months.The current time is October 7, 2023, and the growth rate has begun to slow.3; configuration is the basic order of investment.None of the chances of bottoming out again, the opportunity was born.
4. The background at that time was the beginning of the new round of production capacity cycle in the early century. Often the following decline was the beginning, including the output of coin selection.The current price distance before the market is not far from analysis. At that time, the background was in 2008. According to past experience: the high will not exceed the high point of the previous rise, and the US starts interest rate hike cycle. The second is the Federal Reserve.The possible impact of monetary policy Bitcoin’s next round market high. After 1998, inflation rose significantly, rising from nearly 1.7%to 3.7%.
5. At that time, the background was the electronic computer technology accumulated in the previous round of cycles. It was about 18 months after the machine. At this time, it was still in the period of Kangbo’s prosperity.Bitcoin halves the market every four years; the vibration of the Na index is halved, so you can refer to the high price of the top of the calf at the top of the calf at about 20 months, and the macroeconomic face is about 20 months.The possible market for rising, continued to print banknotes; the second decrease occurred in July 2016, and reviewed the past cycle.The benchmark interest rate is adjusted from 0%to 5.5-5.75%. At the beginning of the interest rate cut cycle, it did not bring a trend rising market.
